34. Assume that all of a company’s job applicants must
take a test, and that the scores on this test are normally
distributed. The selection ratio is the cutoff point used
by the company in its hiring process. For example, a
selection ratio of 25% means that the company will
accept applicants for jobs who rank in the top 25% of
all applicants. If the company chooses a selection ratio
of 25%, the average test score of those selected will be
1.27 standard deviations above average. Use simulation to verify this fact, proceeding as follows.
a. Show that if the company wants to accept only
the top 25% of all applicants, it should accept
applicants whose test scores are at least 0.674
standard deviation above average. (No simulation
is required here. Just use the appropriate Excel
normal function.)
b. Now generate 1000 test scores from a normal
distribution with mean 0 and standard deviation
1. The average test score of those selected is the
average of the scores that are at least 0.674. To
determine this, use Excel’s DAVERAGE function. To do so, put the heading Score in cell
A3, generate the 1000 test scores in the range
A4:A1003, and name the range A3:A1003 Data.
In cells C3 and C4, enter the labels Score and
.0.674. (The range C3:C4 is called the criterion
range.) Then calculate the average of all applicants who will be hired by entering the formula
=DAVERAGE(Data, “Score”, C3:C4) in any
cell. This average should be close to the theoretical average, 1.27. This formula works as follows.
Excel finds all observations in the Data range
that satisfy the criterion described in the range
C3:C4 (Score.0.674). Then it averages the values in the Score column (the second argument of
DAVERAGE) corresponding to these entries. See
online help for more about Excel’s database “D”
functions.c. What information would the company need to
determine an optimal selection ratio? How could it
determine the optimal selection ratio?
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